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A risk analysis of speeding

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Printed Date: 05-May-2024 at 01:07


Topic: A risk analysis of speeding
Posted By: spokey
Subject: A risk analysis of speeding
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 08:54

I found http://www.ibiblio.org/rdu/speedsci.html - this (American) website quite interesting. Some interesting aspects of the analysis:

Quote 4) Any attempts to obey the speed limit when the flow is substantially faster are suicidal, according to this model. Doing 55 when everybody else is doing 70 can increase your risk by more than a factor of 100! [American speed limits, presumably a similar argument applies to driving 70 when everyone else is driving 85.]

5) It also appears that "traffic kills" rather than "speed kills": traffic density d is the single most important factor that affects the total risk. Doubling the traffic density approximately doubles the risk and makes it twice as dangerous to deviate from the flow.




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Ciao,
Spokey




Replies:
Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 09:17
Everybody should be driving at a similar speed yes. But not more than the speed limit. That is what the enforcement is about, speed cameras are a measure to try & do that. Variable limits are a measure to try & do that as well (everyone travelling together at a speed so you don't keep getting the stop & start, high speed then low speed. Instead it's one moderated constant flow.)
If people simply brake for the camera & try to cheat that purpose, then expect more SPECS type systems to follow. You can't cheat them by doing that because they will enforce compliance over a far greater area.

On the second point
But we continually buck that trend with our methods & advancements.
In our worst year recorded we had 9,169 deaths from only 2.5 million vehicles on our roads.
In our best (last year) we had our lowest number of deaths 3,221 with 58.1 million registered vehicles (our highest number ever.)




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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 09:32
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Everybody should be driving at a similar speed yes. But not more than the speed limit.


But that directly contradicts what he's saying: he's saying if everyone else is speeding, then it's safer for you to travel at the same speed as everyone else.


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: darkspirit
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 09:43

The easy answer to this one is raise the speed limits...

Now I am not talking across the the full road network but motorways for example should have the speed limit increased. Modern cars are more than capable of travelling safely at speed greater than 70mph. A 90mph limit on the motorway would be much more acceptable in this day and age.

On the flip side im all for the reduction of speed limits in areas such as built up housing estates, school areas, towns etc.!

As a final safety note, driving tests should be made harder/stricter with more emphasis on road safety, driving conditions and vehicle control.

P.S. Elderly people, 60+ should be required to re take a driving test and repeat every 3-5 following years! (ready for the flaming )

 



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'99 E39 528i SE Manual Scwartz black with Grey leather

In the words of SPACEBALLS 'may the schwartz be with you...' :-)




Posted By: Rhys
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 09:56
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


In our worst year recorded we had 9,169 deaths from only 2.5 million vehicles on our roads.In our best (last year) we had our lowest number of deaths 3,221 with 58.1 million registered vehicles (our highest number ever.)


does this include congestion - the shear volume of traffic can have an effect as well. You're less likely to have a fatal accident if you're stood still. Though I expect the number of minor accidents has risen due to impatiant people lane swapping and cutting-up in these situations.
Also does this take into account traffic calming measures such as speed bumps and chicanes etc.

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V reg Rustbucket Merc C220 Cdi estate
J Reg Saab 900i 16v
'63 Ford Anglia 105e deluxe
R reg Honda PC50 moped..

No BMW as yet...


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 09:56
Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Everybody should be driving at a similar speed yes. But not more than the speed limit.


But that directly contradicts what he's saying: he's saying if everyone else is speeding, then it's safer for you to travel at the same speed as everyone else.


You can get everyone travelling at the same speed by increasing the slower drivers to the speed of the faster (which may be beyond their capabilities) OR reducing the speed of the faster drivers to that which everyone is capable of travelling at safely.

It's the same result & I prefer the second because everyone is driving within their capabilities that we have all been tested to.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 09:58
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Everybody should be driving at a similar speed yes. But not more than the speed limit.


But that directly contradicts what he's saying: he's saying if everyone else is speeding, then it's safer for you to travel at the same speed as everyone else.


You can get everyone travelling at the same speed by increasing the slower drivers to the speed of the faster (which may be beyond their capabilities) OR reducing the speed of the faster drivers to that which everyone is capable of travelling at safely.

It's the same result & I prefer the second because everyone is driving within their capabilities that we have all been tested to.


Livvy, is this all about safety or not?

If it's about safety, then his numbers quite clearly show that even if you are breaking the speed limit, you are driving more safely if you go with the flow.

So, is this about safety or not?


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 10:02
Originally posted by Rhys Rhys wrote:

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


In our worst year recorded we had 9,169 deaths from only 2.5 million vehicles on our roads.In our best (last year) we had our lowest number of deaths 3,221 with 58.1 million registered vehicles (our highest number ever.)


does this include congestion - the shear volume of traffic can have an effect as well. You're less likely to have a fatal accident if you're stood still. Though I expect the number of minor accidents has risen due to impatiant people lane swapping and cutting-up in these situations.
Also does this take into account traffic calming measures such as speed bumps and chicanes etc.


Total number of collisions haven't changed greatly despite the vast increase in vehicle numbers, they did rise to a peak in the 60's but have steadily dropped slightly since to where our current levels are at about the 1940's number of accidents again.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: Peter Fenwick
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 10:02

Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Everybody should be driving at a similar speed yes. But not more than the speed limit.


But that directly contradicts what he's saying: he's saying if everyone else is speeding, then it's safer for you to travel at the same speed as everyone else.


You can get everyone travelling at the same speed by increasing the slower drivers to the speed of the faster (which may be beyond their capabilities) OR reducing the speed of the faster drivers to that which everyone is capable of travelling at safely.

It's the same result & I prefer the second because everyone is driving within their capabilities that we have all been tested to.


Livvy, is this all about safety or not?

If it's about safety, then his numbers quite clearly show that even if you are breaking the speed limit, you are driving more safely if you go with the flow.

So, is this about safety or not?

No of course it isn't. It 's about having power over someone and exercising that power.



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Entering an age of Austerity and now driving a Focus Diesel.


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 10:04
Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Everybody should be driving at a similar speed yes. But not more than the speed limit.


But that directly contradicts what he's saying: he's saying if everyone else is speeding, then it's safer for you to travel at the same speed as everyone else.


You can get everyone travelling at the same speed by increasing the slower drivers to the speed of the faster (which may be beyond their capabilities) OR reducing the speed of the faster drivers to that which everyone is capable of travelling at safely.

It's the same result & I prefer the second because everyone is driving within their capabilities that we have all been tested to.


Livvy, is this all about safety or not?

If it's about safety, then his numbers quite clearly show that even if you are breaking the speed limit, you are driving more safely if you go with the flow.

So, is this about safety or not?


I agree that it is safest if everyone is travelling at similar speeds.

But that should not be at speeds above our limits. That is safest.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 10:05
Originally posted by Peter Fenwick Peter Fenwick wrote:

No of course it isn't. It 's about having power over someone and exercising that power.


WE have safety controls over many aspects of our lives & speed limits are just one of them. Those are societies rules. It's the job of the Police to uphold societies rules.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 10:06
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:



I agree that it is safest if everyone is travelling at similar speeds.

But that should not be at speeds above our limits. That is safest.


But livvy, I can't make everyone else drive at a given speed. If I get on the motorway, and everyone else is doing 80 or 85, and I drive at the speed limit, then I am driving less safely, more dangerously, than if I were to drive at the speed limit.

So, what do I do, drive less safely at the speed limit, or drive more safely at a faster speed?


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: Nigel
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 10:20

Hard call spokey, and only one you can make, if it makes you feel any better, I will tend to drive with the flow....but I'm still breaking the law.

Now, how about if we get everyone trained, then we may be able to increase the limits ?

Livvy often bashes me with the point, that in my quest for higher limits I am increasing the differential between different groups of road users, and thus increasing danger.

Its all a balancing act !



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Best Wishes

Nigel



Posted By: Rhys
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 10:23
Originally posted by Nigel Nigel wrote:

Hard call spokey, and only one you can make, if it makes you feel any better, I will tend to drive with the flow....but I'm still breaking the law.


Now, how about if we get everyone trained, then we may be able to increase the limits ?


Livvy often bashes me with the point, that in my quest for higher limits I am increasing the differential between different groups of road users, and thus increasing danger.


Its all a balancing act !



Quite true, given that HGV's are restricted to 60 mph, and can occcupy 2 lanes of a 3 lane motorway - what happens when one pulls out infront of a car going faster than say 80 mph - especialy if there is another one following (lots of braking)

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V reg Rustbucket Merc C220 Cdi estate
J Reg Saab 900i 16v
'63 Ford Anglia 105e deluxe
R reg Honda PC50 moped..

No BMW as yet...


Posted By: thepits
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 10:29

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

 Variable limits are a measure to try & do that as well (everyone travelling together at a speed so you don't keep getting the stop & start, high speed then low speed. Instead it's one moderated constant flow.)

Cobblers!

Went to the NEC last Friday - on the M42 at 08:30, variable speed limit in use, 60...50...40...40...40... and I was almost stationary by then, doing 10-20mph, looking at the signs says "Wish I could do 40!"

Came back in the afternoon (3pm ish) and now my way home was showing 60...50... with an almost empty road!

So with the few of us on the road at that time all bunched up together, annoyed, as we can't ignore the limit as 90% of the signs have camera's on them!



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Cats know your every thought.

But don't care.


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 11:08
Spokey

You can't hope that everyone who is travelling faster than you will all be travelling at the same speed either. Without a limit that means that everyone would be having to travel at the same speed as the very fastest, which is a complete nonsense as you would be asking the least skilled to be doing the speed that the most skilled think appropriate. It will be beyond them to safely do that.

The safest way is to set a common safe limit & rigidly enforce that.
Bring it down to the lowest common denominator.

It's either that or make all drivers as capable as the best. That is the only way you can up the limit is raise the overall standard.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 11:12
Originally posted by thepits thepits wrote:

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

 Variable limits are a measure to try & do that as well (everyone travelling together at a speed so you don't keep getting the stop & start, high speed then low speed. Instead it's one moderated constant flow.)

Cobblers!

Went to the NEC last Friday - on the M42 at 08:30, variable speed limit in use, 60...50...40...40...40... and I was almost stationary by then, doing 10-20mph, looking at the signs says "Wish I could do 40!"

Came back in the afternoon (3pm ish) and now my way home was showing 60...50... with an almost empty road!

So with the few of us on the road at that time all bunched up together, annoyed, as we can't ignore the limit as 90% of the signs have camera's on them!



Of course it relies on constant monitoring & the operators remembering to change the limits. Just because it says a limit don't suppose you can safely do that speed though, it is after all the maximum in good circumstances not what is definitely safe & achieveable.

The idea of variable limits is noble & my personal experience of travelling on roads with them has been quite positive.



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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 11:16
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

You can't hope that everyone who is travelling faster than you will all be travelling at the same speed either. Without a limit that means that everyone would be having to tarvel at the same speed as the very fastest, which is a complete nonsense as you would be asking the least skilled to be doing the speed that the most skilled think appropriate. It will be beyond them to safely do that.

The safest way is to set a common safe limit & rigidly enforce that.
Bring it down to the lowest common denominator.


Livvy, you are NOT answering my question. Avoid the sophistry and hair-splitting, please!

If I get on the motorway and the flow of traffic is travelling faster than the speed limit, should I travel more safely and break the speed limit, or should I travel less safely at or below the speed limit?


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 11:17
Keep to the limit, because you can't hope to match the speed of every other vehicle out there. Let them come to your speed (as they should).
If you are the slowest just stay in lane one.

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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: thepits
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 11:19

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


Of course it relies on constant monitoring & the operators remembering to change the limits.
Inefficient humans interfering in your computor world!

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Just because it says a limit don't suppose you can safely do that speed though, it is after all the maximum in good circumstances not what is definitely safe & achieveable. 
Good answer, but completely missing my point!!

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

The idea of variable limits is noble & my personal experience of travelling on roads with them has been quite positive.

                  



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Cats know your every thought.

But don't care.


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 11:24
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Keep to the limit,


Even though it's demonstrably more dangerous?

So it's not about saving lives then? It's more about adherence to the law?

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

because you can't hope to match the speed of every other vehicle out there.


I could aim for a median, though. It's easy enough. And it's a lot safer.

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Let them come to your speed (as they should).
If you are the slowest just stay in lane one.


No other person is going to slow down because I'm travelling at the speed limit -- I have proven this repeatedly on the motorway. I've also never slowed down because some old duffer in lane one is doing 60 on a motorway, either.

And I'm not the slowest, there are HGV's I want to overtake. But because I dare not go over the speed limit, lest I invoke the wrath of Be'elzebub, I will slow down all the other cars who are going faster than the speed limit when I do, possibly causing an accident and probably increasing everyone else's stress levels.

And it's demonstrably less safe than just travelling at the same speed as everyone else.

But you're saying I should be less safe, and more within the law?

So it's NOT all about safety then?


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: dutch
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 11:43

all these points point back to the outdated driving test

why is there two levels of the test. standard and advanced.

why are new drivers not shown how to drive on motorways.

why are driving tests not carried out every 5years on everybody.

its not the speed that kills its the nut behind the wheel not observing whats going on around him and acting on it. when travaling at speed you are more attentive to your surroundings. when slower driving for long periods you are more distracted.



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e39,1200 bandit
cooper S, Z3 topazbleu


Posted By: Jack735
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 12:41

I’m all for variable speed limits but think, as others have said before, there are times when the limit should be above 70. 

 

Two clear examples spring to mind are road works where people are risking AND losing their lives.  Have the speed limit ‘dead’ slow during the time they are working but higher when they are not.  OK maybe not higher than 70 but  I find nothing more irritating than going through road works at 30/40 when there’s no-one there. 

 

And the other is on the motorways/dual carriageways at night when there’s nothing for miles and I’m pottering down the road at 70.

 

But I agree with 20 mph zones round places where kids are about.

 

And ….. wouldn’t it be safer if lane changing was not allowed say 200 metres before and after motorway junctions and in crawling motorway traffic?



Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 13:08
I have said before that I personally think that a small increase in the 70 limit on motorways could be accomodated with variable limits on motorways. I don't think that unlit sections at night would be a good idea for that though, as you still have to be able to stop within the distance you can see to be clear (ie avoid something stationary & unlit in the road, such as a broken down car in lane 3.)

That said there are other considerations as well with the setting of speed limits, not just safety.
Things such as noise pollution & emissions.
I believe the last time a speed limit increase was ruled out it was on the basis of noise pollution & recent government reports have suggested that enforcing our current motorway limits, rather than raising them, is important to help us meet our obligations to international treaties with regards to emission level controls.

I personally would rather see more focus to keep traffic flowing better within our current limits, than focus on raising them. After all a higher limit is no good if you are sat stationary in a jam.




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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 13:11
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


I personally rather would see more focus to keep traffic flowing better within our current limits than focus on raising them. After all a higher limit is no good if you are sat stationary in a jam.


This is heading off topic again, so I'd like to bring the focus back to why an advanced driver and safety enthusiast is advocating that adherence to the speed limit is more important than demonstrably safer driving?


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 15:31
Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:


This is heading off topic again, so I'd like to bring the focus back to why an advanced driver and safety enthusiast is advocating that adherence to the speed limit is more important than demonstrably safer driving?


I don't agree that it is demonstrably safer in what you suggest.
Firstly as you move to match the speed of the faster traffic you move further away from the slower traffic.

What you gain on one side you lose on the other.

If we are going to have speed limits at all, they need to be enforced or they are pointless and I am certainly of the opinion that we are safer with them than without them.

From what I see of driving standards on our roads it is not safe to leave the decision on what is a safe maximum to people beyond our limits. The skill levels are not up to it.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 15:41
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:


This is heading off topic again, so I'd like to bring the focus back to why an advanced driver and safety enthusiast is advocating that adherence to the speed limit is more important than demonstrably safer driving?


I don't agree that it is demonstrably safer in what you suggest.
Firstly as you move to match the speed of the faster traffic you move further away from the slower traffic.



You will always have a disparity in speed, livvy, even if there were only law-abiding 70MPH motorists and 55MPH HGV drivers (in itself, the exact differential that his analysis pointed out was dangerous!)

But my point is that if the average speed of road users is 85MPH on a given stretch of road, then you are NOT driving as safely at 70MPH as would be if you joined them at 85MPH. Its all about reducing the differential between your speed and theirs. If you are driving at 80 when everyone else is driving at 85 (or faster), then you are safer than if you are driving at 70 and everyone else is driving at 85 (or faster).

Yet you are saying we should ignore the safety aspect demonstrated by his fairly rigorous analysis, and drive less safely at 70MPH despite the fact that it substantially increases the risk of someone dying.

How do you justify this if you really are concerned with lowering RTA fatalities and injuries?


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 17:17
Because the aim and thrust of the legislation & enforcement is to reduce the disparity by making people not go beyond the limits.

If that is not working sufficiently then perhaps the better option & thus one you would perhaps support in light of your evidence that it is safer without (or with minimal) disparity, would be to use a more efficient system of enforcement such as SPECS.

I have advocated SPECS as being a more effective camera system than GATSOs so perhaps that is the way to go. I believe they would be more effective at controling speed differentials over greater distances than current systems. They certainly have been in my experience of travelling through them.

That would seem to be the most sensible route to bringing lowest speed, closest to highest speed & with both closest to the median. More so than what you seem to suggest anyway.
What you suggest will have a larger differential than the current maximum between LGV limits & car limits.

Are we agreed then, more effective enforcement of the 70 limit will address your concerns most effectively.
i.e. Anyone over it gets caught & if they keep doing it they'll be off the road.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 18:51
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

That would seem to be the most sensible route to bringing lowest speed, closest to highest speed & with both closest to the median. More so than what you seem to suggest anyway.



I'm not suggesting anything, livvy, I'm quoting a physicist who has done a far more rigorous analysis of this than I ever would.

I tend to stick to the speed limit as much as I can, although I may have to review this policy in the light of research that seems to suggest that sometimes by obeying the speed limit I am driving unsafely.

Because I don't particularly want to die in an RTA.


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 19:01
Perhaps you could lend your support to SPECS systems then.
After all they would help in promoting the safe climate that he suggests & thus aid your safety on the road.

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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 19:19
Livvy, you are dragging this away from the question I posed.  You preach at us about road safety, yet when presented with evidence that we should take the behaviour of other drivers into account, which may cause us to break the law to drive in the safest fashion, you insist that we should uphold the law, even though it exposes us to a significant increase in risk of death or serious injury.

You may well protest that this or that may make people drive at a given speed, but since those things are not there, and people do break the speed limit en masse, WHY should I place myself and my family at a far greater level of risk by adhering to the speed limit when those around me are not doing the same thing?

A sanctimonious sense of smugness from adhering to the law will not accompany me to the graveside of my passenger if I survive.


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: Rhys
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 19:42
I think people should take to driving cars that can't exceed the limit for a while, and see it from a different perspective..
(..and no, this isn't a cue for limiters to be introduced.. Livvy.. )

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V reg Rustbucket Merc C220 Cdi estate
J Reg Saab 900i 16v
'63 Ford Anglia 105e deluxe
R reg Honda PC50 moped..

No BMW as yet...


Posted By: Nigel
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 19:45

How many cars do you know of that can't break the limit without limiters ?

Even wifeys three cylinder 1 litre suzuki can do that !



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Best Wishes

Nigel



Posted By: Rhys
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 19:55
Originally posted by Nigel Nigel wrote:

How many cars do you know of that can't break the limit without limiters ?


Even wifeys three cylinder 1 litre suzuki can do that !



Evening Biggles..

Well, maybe they can (and I've been a passenger in one of those Swifts - and they can travel a bit) but I wouldn't want to go any faster than 80 in Kez's Vit - I tend to stick to 70 in that and let everything just pass me.

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V reg Rustbucket Merc C220 Cdi estate
J Reg Saab 900i 16v
'63 Ford Anglia 105e deluxe
R reg Honda PC50 moped..

No BMW as yet...


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 20:01
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Perhaps you could lend your support to SPECS systems then.
After all they would help in promoting the safe climate that he suggests & thus aid your safety on the road.


livvy, have I said ANYTHING that would make you think that I support ANY kind of scamera ANYWHERE?

For the sake of the avoidance of any doubt what so ever: I do not agree with camera-based enforcement of speed regulations ANYWHERE. Not even outside schools. I do support engineering and signage improvements / amendments in black spots or high-risk areas. I do support better education and better technical training. I do support re-testing.

I disagree vehemently with your assertion that we should be paranoid about unmarked rozzers in our midst. The police are here to serve the community, NOT to be feared and to threaten us. It does no good for the police when they are feared or considered a threat because they then become the enemy of the people they are supposed to serve, and at some point, bad things will come of that.

Your whole argument and position smacks of the distasteful nature of current traffic law enforcement: the police must intimidate and bully us into complying, they must sneak around incognito and spy on us, they must use an enormous net that they can review at a later stage at their leisure to see if we have done anything wrong and punish us for it. They must always wield a stick. Every infraction must be punished.

If you were to raise a child using that approach, the adult would be a dysfunctional, paranoid sociopath. Do you want a nation filled with people like that? Do you want every driver to be like that?

I don't.


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: Rhys
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 20:15
One thing that I do find helps, are those signs that light up to say you are going too fast.. It makes you take notice of your speed and alter it accordingly.

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V reg Rustbucket Merc C220 Cdi estate
J Reg Saab 900i 16v
'63 Ford Anglia 105e deluxe
R reg Honda PC50 moped..

No BMW as yet...


Posted By: Nigel
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 20:38

Originally posted by Rhys Rhys wrote:

One thing that I do find helps, are those signs that light up to say you are going too fast.. It makes you take notice of your speed and alter it accordingly.

You will be amazed ( and I don't say this smugly), as to how that doesn't happen once you've passed your advanced test and practised it a little.



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Best Wishes

Nigel



Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 21-January-2006 at 20:56
I'm not being smug either, but I can't remember the last time a sign like that lit up for me. But if my attention did stray from my speedo, I'd far rather a sign told me that I was speeding so that I could fix it there and then, as opposed to getting a NIP in the post a fortnight later. Slowing down at the time might save a life. The NIP certainly could be a fortnight too late.

However, this is all a distraction from my main point.

A detailed analysis of the risk factors in driving has been done, and a differential in speed is a huge risk factor. If everyone else is breaking the limit, then joining them is the safest thing to do.

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

I don't think Safety is negotiable


Yet, livvy tells us that we should do the UNSAFE thing and stick to the speed limit.

I would like to ask livvy to please explain why exactly I should maintain my current driving habits when I now know that unilaterally adhering to speed limits is placing me at a substantially higher risk of dying in an RTA.

This is not an arbitrary point. My life is at stake, and a safety-advocating policewoman is telling me that I should ignore some fairly clear safety advice and stick to the law.

If I die from adhering to the law, will livvy (or the police in general) financially support my child? If my child dies from my adherence to the law, will livvy (or the police in general) be able to bring her back?


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: Peter Fenwick
Date Posted: 22-January-2006 at 07:08

Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Keep to the limit,


Even though it's demonstrably more dangerous?

So it's not about saving lives then? It's more about adherence to the law?

Exactly.



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Entering an age of Austerity and now driving a Focus Diesel.


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 22-January-2006 at 16:09
Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:


I would like to ask livvy to please explain why exactly I should maintain my current driving habits when I now know that unilaterally adhering to speed limits is placing me at a substantially higher risk of dying in an RTA.

This is not an arbitrary point. My life is at stake, and a safety-advocating policewoman is telling me that I should ignore some fairly clear safety advice and stick to the law.



It's not demonstrably safer.

He appears to be working from a simplistic view that you are travelling slower than the flow so it is safer for you to go with the flow. What he is not accounting for is others that don't do that. Others who's speed will now have a greater differential because of your increase to go with the faster vehicles. There is no mention of them.

LGVs have limiters, they can't increase their speed to go with the flow. If you match speed with faster vehicles you move further from their speed, increasing risk not decreasing it in relation to them. With the variations in speed of vehicles you will never be able to accurately judge the median, you will always be above or below it, so you will find it nigh on impossible to hit the optimum speed. Particularly as the gap between fastest & slowest gets greater.

As the LGVs can't up their speed & if we are trying to to get a flow where we are broadly fairly close together in terms of speed, the best model is to more rigorously enforce the 70 limit. This of course will have some variations but far more acceptable safety wise, with the speeds of fastest & slowest not too far apart & a smaller gap to the median than where we allow more freedom on the upper end.

Of course as with anything you can't force people with freedom of movement to do that (unless you put limiters in all cars) & they will make their choice to break the limit or stay within it as is suggested & enforced. Either way you make your personal choice & you live with that & any consequences it brings.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: dutch
Date Posted: 22-January-2006 at 16:18
are you advocating the use of speed limiters on all vehicles would bring down the rta stats?

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e39,1200 bandit
cooper S, Z3 topazbleu


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 22-January-2006 at 16:23
Originally posted by dutch dutch wrote:

are you advocating the use of speed limiters on all vehicles would bring down the rta stats?


I'd rather we didn't have to go down that route. Perosnally I'd rather people observe the limits themselves. It is something the government are seriously looking at though & testing has already taken place in this country (& other countries in Europe). With some devices tested they sound a warning in the car & record your transgression, other devices physically stop you going over the limit.

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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: Rhys
Date Posted: 22-January-2006 at 16:35
Originally posted by Nigel Nigel wrote:

Originally posted by Rhys Rhys wrote:

One thing that I do find helps, are those signs that light up to say you are going too fast.. It makes you take notice of your speed and alter it accordingly.


You will be amazed ( and I don't say this smugly), as to how that doesn't happen once you've passed your advanced test and practised it a little.



why, do you have a gizmo that turns them off?

Personaly speaking I don't set these things off as they are there for a reason, and the ones in villages that actualy tell you your speed have have shown me to have been slightly under the limit by a few mph.


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V reg Rustbucket Merc C220 Cdi estate
J Reg Saab 900i 16v
'63 Ford Anglia 105e deluxe
R reg Honda PC50 moped..

No BMW as yet...


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 22-January-2006 at 17:24
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


It's not demonstrably safer.

He appears to be working from a simplistic view that you are travelling slower than the flow so it is safer for you to go with the flow. What he is not accounting for is others that don't do that. Others who's speed will now have a greater differential because of your increase to go with the faster vehicles. There is no mention of them.



So you're saying it's safer to be one of the few, slower cars and have all the faster cars have a 15MPH (or whatever) differential and you STILL have a 15MPH differential with HGV's?

As opposed to having NO differential with the mass of traffic and a bigger differential with a few HGV's?

(And I think I'm fairly safe in saying there would only be a few HGV's if the flow was in excess of the speed limit, because HGV's choke up traffic flow very quickly if there are many of them.)


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: Peter Fenwick
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 05:01

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Originally posted by dutch dutch wrote:

are you advocating the use of speed limiters on all vehicles would bring down the rta stats?


I'd rather we didn't have to go down that route. Perosnally I'd rather people observe the limits themselves. It is something the government are seriously looking at though & testing has already taken place in this country (& other countries in Europe). With some devices tested they sound a warning in the car & record your transgression, other devices physically stop you going over the limit.

If they are introduced they'll last until they are the cause of a death on the road. However they aren't likely to be introduced since Labour aren't lilkely to win the next election.

Stopping speeders isn't about road safety. I don't care what any load of governement statsitics tells us. It is about having a law and enforcing it. There is anoyance at people breaking a law so it is being enforced more vigorousley, it's as simple as that. It is about control. The more ways the state controls us the more likley we are to be compliant with other issues. The more laws we feel we can get away with breaking, the more likley we are to flaut other rules/regulations. It's similar to how you deal with a child. If you set a rule and the child breaks that then you need to punish the child otherwise it will think it can get away with breaking other rules. What the actual rule is is irrelevant. Simple psycology.

 



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Entering an age of Austerity and now driving a Focus Diesel.


Posted By: B 7 VP
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 09:42

[QUOTE=livvy]

I'd rather we didn't have to go down that route. Perosnally I'd rather people observe the limits themselves. It is something the government are seriously looking at though & testing has already taken place in this country (& other countries in Europe). With some devices tested they sound a warning in the car & record your transgression, other devices physically stop you going over the limit.

At first your comments were of some interest-----NOW!!! they sound like a brainwashed Dalek.Where will all the transgressors go for their Electric shock treatment Or will we have built in equipment to punish us as we drive with suitable voice advice.



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SAFETYFAST


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 10:46
Originally posted by B 7 VP B 7 VP wrote:

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:



I'd rather we didn't have to go down that route. Perosnally I'd rather people observe the limits themselves. It is something the government are seriously looking at though & testing has already taken place in this country (& other countries in Europe). With some devices tested they sound a warning in the car & record your transgression, other devices physically stop you going over the limit.

At first your comments were of some interest-----NOW!!! they sound like a brainwashed Dalek.Where will all the transgressors go for their Electric shock treatment Or will we have built in equipment to punish us as we drive with suitable voice advice.



Merely reporting what's happening in the real world (not a ABD censored private one)

Read that ruling yet ?


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 10:50
Originally posted by Peter Fenwick Peter Fenwick wrote:

If they are introduced they'll last until they are the cause of a death on the road. However they aren't likely to be introduced since Labour aren't lilkely to win the next election.


Do you really think there is going to be a massive change in road policy & speed enforcement by any other party that get in ?

Do you really think that all GATSOs will be removed overnight ?
Do you think ANPR will abolished ?

I personally don't think so.

That doesn't mean I am saying that limiters are definitely coming, they are just being looked at as a form of compliance with limits (both here & abroad).

Having said that TFL have openly said that they are looking at all buses, taxis & council vehicles being fitted with them. They will effectively create a lot of rolling "pace" cars if they do.

Tax breaks & incentives may well encourage business fleets to do likewise. If the governemnet do that they don't need to force limiters on you because there'll be so many vehicles with them fitted that they perform rolling speed limit enforcement. You'll be in a line of traffic unable to overtake & just paying more than those with limiters fitted for the privilege of doing so.

Quote

Stopping speeders isn't about road safety. I don't care what any load of governement statsitics tells us. It is about having a law and enforcing it. There is anoyance at people breaking a law so it is being enforced more vigorousley, it's as simple as that. It is about control. The more ways the state controls us the more likley we are to be compliant with other issues. The more laws we feel we can get away with breaking, the more likley we are to flaut other rules/regulations. It's similar to how you deal with a child. If you set a rule and the child breaks that then you need to punish the child otherwise it will think it can get away with breaking other rules. What the actual rule is is irrelevant. Simple psycology.

 



Forget about the enforcement for a minute..... why do we have speed limits then ?






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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 13:20
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Forget about the enforcement for a minute..... why do we have speed limits then ?



As I understand it, it's because some car-hating old bag who didn't even have a driving license got the hump about someone doing 150MPH on the M1.

Personally, I'd have thought a police officer would know that.


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 13:24
Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:


As I understand it, it's because some car-hating old bag who didn't even have a driving license got the hump about someone doing 150MPH on the M1.


We had speed limits long before motorways & they were introduced on motorways because of collisions on them when they first opened.

Quote
Personally, I'd have thought a police officer would know that.


Just keep on guessing.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: Peter Fenwick
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 15:17
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Originally posted by Peter Fenwick Peter Fenwick wrote:

If they are introduced they'll last until they are the cause of a death on the road. However they aren't likely to be introduced since Labour aren't lilkely to win the next election.


Do you really think there is going to be a massive change in road policy & speed enforcement by any other party that get in ?

No, I don't think any party entering power will actually remove any of the measures put in place by the previous government. However I don't think they would introduce limiters themselves. I am talking about the conservative party. Like them or not, they have a less controlling attitiude to the genral public that the current labout party do.

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:



Forget about the enforcement for a minute..... why do we have speed limits then ?

I don't know. Because people were scared of cars in the early days. They did used to make them drive around with a man in front waving a red flag. Hardley a rational response to the motor car. However it is irrelevant now why we have them. The fact of the matter is it has become more about enforcement than safety.



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Entering an age of Austerity and now driving a Focus Diesel.


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 15:27
The limits are a safety measure.

It's then about enforcing that safety measure.

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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 15:41
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

The limits are a safety measure.


Are they? I thought they were a means of dumbing down driving because people did not drive safely. Instead of making better drivers of us, the government has chosen a mechanism that is used to:

a) treat us all as bad drivers
b) act as a target for blind enforcement
c) alienate the public
d) generate revenue
e) arbitrarily make criminals of us all

Love the reasoning.


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 15:54
I agree it's dumbing down, but that doesn't mean it's not a safety measure for doing that.

a) Being unable to stick to the limits is one form of bad driving.
b) It is impressed upon drivers that the limit is not indicative that it is safe to travel at that speed. It is a maximum if the circumstances are safe.
c) You say so, but is that the view of the majority of the public. Is it that distasteful to them. The governemnt still managed to get re-elected with these policies.
d) Road Policing & enforcement costs more than the money netted from speeding.
e) Only you make yourself a criminal by failing to adhere to the law.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: dutch
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 17:12


b) It is impressed upon drivers that the limit is not indicative that it is safe to travel at that speed. It is a maximum if the circumstances are safe.


why is 70 safer than 80 the car has evolved roads are better the limit is outdated set in 1967!



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e39,1200 bandit
cooper S, Z3 topazbleu


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 17:15
The driver is the weak link though & there are more of them on the roads.

I've said before, safety alone isn't why the limit has remained at 70. There are environmental reasons as well.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: scarface
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 17:16
Surprisingly, I don't believe the current national speed limit should be raised, if it was then people would eventually start to drive 10-15mph faster than that.  And that is a scary thought considering some of the drivers out there. 

What I do think is that less emphasis should be placed on speed enforcement.  There have always been speed limits and always been people prosecuted for speeding.  But recently it has got fanatical.  A return to the situation not so long ago where the police were too busy to deal with speeding unless you were being stupid. 

The best way to make our roads safer is with a rethink of the mandatory level of training and skill required to be on the road.  


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 17:24
Originally posted by scarface scarface wrote:

Surprisingly, I don't believe the current national speed limit should be raised, if it was then people would eventually start to drive 10-15mph faster than that.  And that is a scary thought considering some of the drivers out there. 


I agree

Quote
What I do think is that less emphasis should be placed on speed enforcement.  There have always been speed limits and always been people prosecuted for speeding.  But recently it has got fanatical.  A return to the situation not so long ago where the police were too busy to deal with speeding unless you were being stupid. 


But prosecuting is within the spirit of the legislation, i.e. the will of parliament.
If it was intended that danger had to be present or stupidity, then they need never have introduced the offence of excess speed. people could be dealt with under careless or inconsiderate driving etc.
The absolute offence of excess speed was introduced because it is preventative.
i.e. they don't want people to get to the stupid stage because that means danger is present. They want to nip it in the bud before there it gets stupid & before it becomes dangerous.

You can still of course be prosecuted under those other offences at speeds below our current limits where there is evidence that the speed is inappropriate.


Quote
The best way to make our roads safer is with a rethink of the mandatory level of training and skill required to be on the road.  


Again I don't disagree that this is the best method & has the greatest long term benefit.

It however costs more & takes longer.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: dutch
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 17:34
Again I don't disagree that this is the best method & has the greatest long term benefit.

It however costs more & takes longer.

this is my point train new drivers to IAM standards to start with,cost shouldn't come into it insurance premimuns should reflect the efforts of the training. a 45min test is way short of the mark

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e39,1200 bandit
cooper S, Z3 topazbleu


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 17:36
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


e) Only you make yourself a criminal by failing to adhere to the law.


Yes, livvy.

There is, however, an enormous difference between driving along and not causing anyone any bother, and raping, murdering or thieving.

If I drive along on my own, not in a rush, not trying to find the limits of my car, just ambling along, and I accidentally stray just ONE MPH over the speed limit, and some bloody-minded scameraman just happens to be there, I am a criminal.

I'm now arbitrarily classified as a criminal, a law-breaker, despite having no intention of causing harm, nor have I actually caused any harm.

If I saw as much effort being expended on catching car thieves or burglars as there is on catching speeding motorists, I might be less aggravated.

But I don't see any police at all, ever.

Scameras are by far the most visible policing I see, and since I don't agree with it as a means of policing or as a means of achieving safer roads, and I don't believe in the ethos of "speed kills", nothing you have said to date has even dented my belief that speed persecution and scameras are an insult to motorists.


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 17:37
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


It however costs more & takes longer.


And it doesn't generate any revenue, and it doesn't criminalise arbitrarily.


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 17:51
Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:


Scameras are by far the most visible policing I see, and since I don't agree with it as a means of policing or as a means of achieving safer roads, and I don't believe in the ethos of "speed kills", nothing you have said to date has even dented my belief that speed persecution and scameras are an insult to motorists.


They may be the most visible policing you see, but not me.

And nothing you have said has dented my belief that they are a valid tool in road safety & traffic law enforcement.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 17:52
Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


It however costs more & takes longer.


And it doesn't generate any revenue, and it doesn't criminalise arbitrarily.



<yawn>


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 17:53
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


They may be the most visible policing you see, but not me.


And what, exactly, do you do for a living?


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 17:53
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:



And nothing you have said has dented my belief that they are a valid tool in road safety & traffic law enforcement.


<yawn>


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: Nigel
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 18:27

Spokey

How about, scameras have absolutely nothing to do with road safety.

They are there to enforce the law...period.

Now what arguement do you have ?



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Best Wishes

Nigel



Posted By: scarface
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 18:50
Originally posted by Nigel Nigel wrote:

How about, scameras have absolutely nothing to do with road safety.

They are there to enforce the law...period.



Probably the closest we've come to the truth.  Road safety is the flimsy justification to answer our irritating questions.  In actual fact it is a way to efficiently help prevent people from breaking a certain law.  Not a HUGELY important law, in the grand scheme of things, IMO, but a law none the less.  One less to bother actual police officers. 



Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 19:04
Originally posted by Nigel Nigel wrote:

How about, scameras have absolutely nothing to do with road safety.

They are there to enforce the law...period.

Now what arguement do you have ?



That would be a lovely statement of the truth. Apart from the bit it's missing: "And collect more revenue from motorists."

The arbitrary nature of the law leaves me with little doubt that it is unfair and unjust.

It is very easy for your speed to vary by a couple of MPH. You might get a cramp, or sneeze, or whatever, and in that second, you could get snapped.

What do you say when a road has had NO accidents on it, but because of activism, the speed limit gets dropped by 10 MPH? Yesterday, I was doing 60 safely and responsibly on this road, today, on the same stretch of road in the same conditions, I'm a crazy law-breaker, exceeding the speed limit by 20%!!

The whole problem for me is that speeding is criminalised because the government is unwilling to expend a bit of effort and make us all better, safer, smoother drivers; and keep us like that. The philosophy is NOT "let's make better drivers", it's "we can't be @rsed to do anything about making it better, so let's just make it slower." The problem with this approach is that it further defers the issue and makes an actual correction even less likely. I really would not be surprised within my lifetime to find a ridiculous blanket speed limit, like 40MPH and there will STILL be idiots killing themselves because they still can't drive and there will still be pious, sanctimonious morons like Transport 2000 advocating even slower limits.

So, starting from the perspective that the philosophy is wrong, the law that "defends" the philosophy is also wrong, then the enforcement of that law is ALSO wrong.

Cameras enforce the law, I can't argue with that. I can argue with the value of the law, though. I can argue with the arbitrary nature of the law, as well. I can definitely argue with the reasoning behind the law as well.


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 19:08
Originally posted by scarface scarface wrote:

Originally posted by Nigel Nigel wrote:

How about, scameras have absolutely nothing to do with road safety.

They are there to enforce the law...period.



Probably the closest we've come to the truth.  Road safety is the flimsy justification to answer our irritating questions.  In actual fact it is a way to efficiently help prevent people from breaking a certain law.  Not a HUGELY important law, in the grand scheme of things, IMO, but a law none the less.  One less to bother actual police officers. 



But every fatal road traffic collision is thoroughly investigated.
Excesive speed is the highest recurring contributory cause in those collisions, being present in a third of those fatal collisions (figures gained from those very investigations.)

In motorcycle fatalities the figure is nearer 50%.

Is it any wonder then that the government look to control speed ?


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 19:12
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Originally posted by scarface scarface wrote:

Originally posted by Nigel Nigel wrote:

How about, scameras have absolutely nothing to do with road safety.

They are there to enforce the law...period.



Probably the closest we've come to the truth.  Road safety is the flimsy justification to answer our irritating questions.  In actual fact it is a way to efficiently help prevent people from breaking a certain law.  Not a HUGELY important law, in the grand scheme of things, IMO, but a law none the less.  One less to bother actual police officers. 



But every fatal road traffic collision is thoroughly investigated.
Excesive speed is the highest recurring contributory cause in those collisions, being present in a third of those fatal collisions (figures gained from those very investigations.)

In motorcycle fatalities the figure is nearer 50%.

Is it any wonder then that the government look to control speed ?


Yes, I'm sure it's a third, livvy. I'm sure it is. No, honest. Really, I am.


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 19:16
Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:


Yes, I'm sure it's a third, livvy. I'm sure it is. No, honest. Really, I am.


That's the conclusions of the investigations.
You of course didn't investigate them.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 19:17
And your source for these figures is...?

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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: scarface
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 19:30
No one denys that it makes accidents messier.  But is it often the sole reason for an accident?  I would guess no. 

I'm sure that better training would cut more accidents than reducing speed.  Although ultimately Spokey is right, nothing would cut deaths better than a blanket 20mph speed limit.  People would still crash though, most accidents seem to happen at low speeds. 

On the subject of better training costing more money, maybe that's the price we have to pay.  It could pay off in reduced insurance premiums and less congestion.  Unfortuantely we've got used to being able to drive being a god given right.  Some people maybe aren't up to it.  We would of course have to improve our public transport a great deal before implementing stricter driving standards. 




Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 19:36
Originally posted by scarface scarface wrote:

No one denys that it makes accidents messier.  But is it often the sole reason for an accident?  I would guess no. 


Collisions rarely have a single causation. There are 54 possible causation factors listed, but the most common one in fatalities is excessive speed. Time & time again, year on year.

Quote
I'm sure that better training would cut more accidents than reducing speed.  Although ultimately Spokey is right, nothing would cut deaths better than a blanket 20mph speed limit.  People would still crash though, most accidents seem to happen at low speeds. 


I'm sure better training would lead to a better use & judgement of the appropriateness of speed for circumstances.
Banning driving alltogther would actually cut deaths better than a 20mph limit, people wouldn't have RTCs at all then.

Most collisions may happen at slower speeds, but very few fatal collisions happen at 20mph or under.


Quote
On the subject of better training costing more money, maybe that's the price we have to pay.  It could pay off in reduced insurance premiums and less congestion.  Unfortuantely we've got used to being able to drive being a god given right.  Some people maybe aren't up to it.  We would of course have to improve our public transport a great deal before implementing stricter driving standards. 



It's alright saying training's the answer & it is the best one. But there are huge hurdles with it & naturally if any government can reach their targets in cheaper easier ways that is what they will go for.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: Nigel
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 19:37

Livvy, the only thing I can dissagree with you on is scameras.

They just don't measure innapropriate speed, if we talk about accidents that occur above the posted limit, all 7% of them, that makes more sense.

The introduction of scameras was handled very badly, and trying to justify them with figures for safety doesn't work, as 93% of accidents happen below the threshold that they measure.



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Best Wishes

Nigel



Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 19:43
Nigel

Measuring inappropraite speed without a collision is very very difficult, because it's so subjective.

You can't limit speed on appropriateness, without a very very high degree of training. A level of training that is never ever going to be available to the general public. You just can't hand that responsibilty to people without such training.

Speed limits and their enforcement have little to do with appropriateness and much to do with setting a ceiling that is generous in giving time to those with limited skills, more so than allowing progress to those who are better skilled.

I do agree that if everyone was higher trained I don't see why we couldn't have more relaxed limits, but it's the chicken & the egg. You ahve to have the training before you can have higher limits & you have to be able to experience under supervision the way to manage it well whilst travelling at those speeds.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: Nigel
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 19:53
You miss my point Livvy, scameras are dealing with 7% of accidents, they don't do diddly squat for 93%, so to try and justify them on safety grounds ia a non starter, and just plays into the hands of the anti-camera brigade (me).

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Best Wishes

Nigel



Posted By: scarface
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 20:08
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


Collisions rarely have a single causation. There are 54 possible causation factors listed, but the most common one in fatalities is excessive speed. Time & time again, year on year.


Probably because it is reasonably easy to judge after the fact, other factors may never be known if the occupants are dead.  So in some cases e.g. loss of concentration is not noted as a factor, but speed is, leading to a distortion of the figures. 

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


Most collisions may happen at slower speeds, but very few fatal collisions happen at 20mph or under.


Sorry, I thought I implied that in my post.

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


It's alright saying training's the answer & it is the best one. But there are huge hurdles with it & naturally if any government can reach their targets in cheaper easier ways that is what they will go for.


As you may know from previous posts I am not a fan of 'targets', they tend to be unattainable and are just to make it look like action is being taken. 
It's about time that people had a say in policy, rather than just swallowing whatever this dictatorship dreams up.  They should be asked whether they want lower speed limits and more cameras or stricter driver training.  After all the public pay for it either way. 

Originally posted by Nigel Nigel wrote:


You miss my point Livvy, scameras are dealing with 7% of accidents, they don't do diddly squat for 93%, so to try and justify them on safety grounds ia a non starter, and just plays into the hands of the anti-camera brigade (me).


My feeling exactly.. Didn't have the percentages though


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 20:09
Originally posted by Nigel Nigel wrote:

You miss my point Livvy, scameras are dealing with 7% of accidents, they don't do diddly squat for 93%, so to try and justify them on safety grounds ia a non starter, and just plays into the hands of the anti-camera brigade (me).


But the stats show that they reduce PIC & KSI collisions after "regression to the mean" is taken into account & that's what the government want. Less deaths an injuries. So the governemnt will say they are working.
In the road safety bill they then intend to introduce other measures that they want to have an impact (no pun intended)


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 20:12
Originally posted by scarface scarface wrote:


As you may know from previous posts I am not a fan of 'targets', they tend to be unattainable and are just to make it look like action is being taken. 
It's about time that people had a say in policy, rather than just swallowing whatever this dictatorship dreams up.  They should be asked whether they want lower speed limits and more cameras or stricter driver training.  After all the public pay for it either way. 



When you vote a government in you give them a mandate to do what is necessary. They rarely offer you a referendum & I certainly can't see that ever happening on road transport policy or traffic law.

When causes are listed from an investigation.

There will be 1 precipitating factor from a list of 15. (This is the key action or failure that led to the impact.)
You then have upto 4 contributory factors from a lits of 54. (The causes that led to the precipitating factor or act.)


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: scarface
Date Posted: 23-January-2006 at 20:25
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


When causes are listed from an investigation.

There will be 1 precipitating factor from a list of 15. (This is the key action or failure that led to the impact.)
You then have upto 4 contributory factors from a lits of 54. (The causes that led to the precipitating factor or act.)


Sorry, what I was trying to say was that in some circumstances the investigators will never know what caused the crash, other than what is apparent afterwards.  Skid marks, blown tyre etc.  Possibly why falling asleep at the wheel is not recorded as a factor that often because you can't tell it apart from other factors.

Ah.. sorry, yes.. that wouldn't effect the percentage that had an element of speeding, you're right.  BED!


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 24-January-2006 at 02:18
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:

Originally posted by scarface scarface wrote:

No one denys that it makes accidents messier.  But is it often the sole reason for an accident?  I would guess no. 


Collisions rarely have a single causation. There are 54 possible causation factors listed, but the most common one in fatalities is excessive speed. Time & time again, year on year.


Let's turn the issue on its head: how many fatalaties are there per mile of driving in excess of the speed limit? Because that would give me a very clear idea of how dangerous it is.



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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: Nigel
Date Posted: 24-January-2006 at 03:42

You can't be absolutely correct spokey, but the figures I've seen range from 3 - 7% for accidents "above" the posted limit.

You can't rely on this data too much, without black boxes being fitted to cars



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Best Wishes

Nigel



Posted By: Jack735
Date Posted: 24-January-2006 at 13:27

This thread has been going on for some time now and perhaps its time for a time out!!!

You may want to consider this in the discussion;

The law is there as guidance and within it there are tolerances; and tolerances elsewhere.

There is a tolerance within the speedometer in the car - when it says 40 mph you are probably doing no more than 37 mph.

There is a tolerance within the speed camera; when the limit is 40 mph you wont normally get your picture taken unless you're over 46 mph (I think, that needs checked out and may be different in different areas).

Combine these 2 and it could well be that although your speedometer says 80 (ish) your probably only doing 75 (ish) and the camera wont get you unless your actual speed is over 77 (ish).

Not all cameras have film in them, another tolerance.

Guidance to warn you where the speed cameras are, or may be, is available through GPS systems, and even included in some road maps,

Guidance in local newspapers and on local radio saying where the mobile speed cameras are, or may be, is available on the web.

If you get caught, your caught fair* and square. 

‘Ah but Officer its just wan wee murder’ said Billy Connelly in his younger days …..  You’ve got to draw a line somewhere and as written above drivers have a pretty wide fuzzy one before they race over it!

*I don’t think its fair for the Police to run around in unmarked high performance cars.  Have them by all means but be open and honest about it.  That was the open and honest approach ‘welcomed’ by drivers when speed cameras came out from behind the road signs!

* Hand held speed cameras are unfair.

After 40 years I think limits, particularly on motorways, should be increased to take into account the substantial improvements in car and road safety. 

PS If you do 80 mph over 100 miles (1 hour 15 minutes) you’ll only be 10 minutes ahead of the guy doing 70 (1 hour 25 minutes).  Given that you're unlikely to get 100 miles of unhindered driving in the UK you probably wouldn’t have time to get out and lock your door before the 70 mph man came up the road behind you!



Posted By: Rhys
Date Posted: 24-January-2006 at 18:14
Originally posted by Jack735 Jack735 wrote:

PS If you do 80 mph over 100 miles (1 hour 15 minutes) you’ll only be 10 minutes ahead of the guy doing 70 (1 hour 25 minutes). Given that you're unlikely to get 100 miles of unhindered driving in the UK you probably wouldn’t have time to get out and lock your door before the 70 mph man came up the road behind you!


So what would the difference be for driving, say 8 hours with a couple of short breaks?

You may not get 100 miles of unhindered driving in the south, further north - especialy in Scotland you can go for a lot more.

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V reg Rustbucket Merc C220 Cdi estate
J Reg Saab 900i 16v
'63 Ford Anglia 105e deluxe
R reg Honda PC50 moped..

No BMW as yet...


Posted By: Peter Fenwick
Date Posted: 25-January-2006 at 04:58
Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:

Originally posted by Nigel Nigel wrote:

How about, scameras have absolutely nothing to do with road safety.

They are there to enforce the law...period.

Now what arguement do you have ?



That would be a lovely statement of the truth. Apart from the bit it's missing: "And collect more revenue from motorists."

The arbitrary nature of the law leaves me with little doubt that it is unfair and unjust.

It is very easy for your speed to vary by a couple of MPH. You might get a cramp, or sneeze, or whatever, and in that second, you could get snapped.

What do you say when a road has had NO accidents on it, but because of activism, the speed limit gets dropped by 10 MPH? Yesterday, I was doing 60 safely and responsibly on this road, today, on the same stretch of road in the same conditions, I'm a crazy law-breaker, exceeding the speed limit by 20%!!

The whole problem for me is that speeding is criminalised because the government is unwilling to expend a bit of effort and make us all better, safer, smoother drivers; and keep us like that. The philosophy is NOT "let's make better drivers", it's "we can't be @rsed to do anything about making it better, so let's just make it slower." The problem with this approach is that it further defers the issue and makes an actual correction even less likely. I really would not be surprised within my lifetime to find a ridiculous blanket speed limit, like 40MPH and there will STILL be idiots killing themselves because they still can't drive and there will still be pious, sanctimonious morons like Transport 2000 advocating even slower limits.

So, starting from the perspective that the philosophy is wrong, the law that "defends" the philosophy is also wrong, then the enforcement of that law is ALSO wrong.

Cameras enforce the law, I can't argue with that. I can argue with the value of the law, though. I can argue with the arbitrary nature of the law, as well. I can definitely argue with the reasoning behind the law as well.

Spot on Spokey



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Entering an age of Austerity and now driving a Focus Diesel.


Posted By: Peter Fenwick
Date Posted: 25-January-2006 at 05:00

Originally posted by scarface scarface wrote:

Unfortuantely we've got used to being able to drive being a god given right.  Some people maybe aren't up to it. 

Exactly the point I've been making in another thread.

All that is happening is we are dumbing down driving to the lowest common denomentator i.e people who probably shouldn't really be on the roads.



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Entering an age of Austerity and now driving a Focus Diesel.


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 25-January-2006 at 10:54
Originally posted by Peter Fenwick Peter Fenwick wrote:

Originally posted by scarface scarface wrote:

Unfortuantely we've got used to being able to drive being a god given right.  Some people maybe aren't up to it. 

Exactly the point I've been making in another thread.

All that is happening is we are dumbing down driving to the lowest common denomentator i.e people who probably shouldn't really be on the roads.



Why shouldn't they be on the roads, just because they don't want to travel as fast as others ?

Provided they are safe & can meet the minimum criteria as set out, then they have every right to be there.

The roads are not the preserve of only those who think they are the best, or want to drive fast. They are there for everyone. It's about everyone who wants to, being able to use them safely.

If they are unsafe, then I agree they shouldn't be there, but if they are safe they can. If they want to travel 10mph under the speed limit because they feel that is the correct speed for them so be it. The other drivers who consider themselves better will just have to deal with that in a safe manner.


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 25-January-2006 at 11:02
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:



Why shouldn't they be on the roads, just because they don't want to travel as fast as others ?


I don't mind if they're on the road, but why are they always parked in the middle lane?


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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 25-January-2006 at 11:24
Originally posted by spokey spokey wrote:

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:



Why shouldn't they be on the roads, just because they don't want to travel as fast as others ?


I don't mind if they're on the road, but why are they always parked in the middle lane?


That isn't the preserve of the "Maureens" of this world.



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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: Jack735
Date Posted: 25-January-2006 at 13:17

Rhys "You may not get 100 miles of unhindered driving in the south, further north - especially in Scotland you can go for a lot more."

A rather romantic vision of what's up here  .  The faster roads are as clogged as many other parts of the country (M8, 9, 90, 74) and the quiet ones you wouldn't dare do 80 because they're too wee!  (B236521!?!) There are nice roads (eg A9) but more often than not you can't get past the fish and supermarket lorries!  The Scottish contingent are going for a tour up the very, very North West of Scotland in June.  Great roads, great fun.

spokey  "I don't mind if they're on the road, but why are they always parked in the middle lane?"

James Bonds Aston Martin (DB5) great idea, cannons in the indicators!

 




Posted By: sleeper
Date Posted: 25-January-2006 at 14:17

another roundabout thread I see.

Just so it doesn't get left out, every single camera system, and everything that doesn't involve an immediate stop, only ever hits the majority of (generally) law-abiding citizens.

Those who are: insured, correctly registered, etc.

As per ususal, Johnny chav -who picked up a dog for a 'couple of ton' and can't even write his own name, let alone fill in a V5 - gets off scot-free.

Fantastic system you advocate!   



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Posted By: scarface
Date Posted: 25-January-2006 at 17:09
Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


Why shouldn't they be on the roads, just because they don't want to travel as fast as others ?


You do have a habit of assuming that the majority of us think that everyone should drive in excess of the speed limit.  There is a time and a place, and I don't expect anyone else to exceed the limit. 

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


Provided they are safe & can meet the minimum criteria as set out, then they have every right to be there.


I quite agree.  Maybe the criteria is currently a bit on the soft side though. 

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


The roads are not the preserve of only those who think they are the best, or want to drive fast. They are there for everyone. It's about everyone who wants to, being able to use them safely.


I don't consider myself to be the best, far from it.  Again you are saying it's all down to speed.  It's not, even I don't drive on or over the speed limit at all times. 
It's about safety, I was talking about people who are not mentally or physically able to drive in a safe, considerate manner.  People just aren't prepared enough when they pass their test, and once you're given a license, that's it, your ability to drive is never questioned. 



Posted By: scarface
Date Posted: 25-January-2006 at 17:14
Originally posted by sleeper sleeper wrote:


As per ususal, Johnny chav -who picked up a dog for a 'couple of ton' and can't even write his own name, let alone fill in a V5 - gets off scot-free.

Fantastic system you advocate!   



Exactly my problem with cameras etc.  It's only as good as the data on that car. 


Posted By: livvy
Date Posted: 25-January-2006 at 17:19
Originally posted by scarface scarface wrote:

Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


Why shouldn't they be on the roads, just because they don't want to travel as fast as others ?


You do have a habit of assuming that the majority of us think that everyone should drive in excess of the speed limit.  There is a time and a place, and I don't expect anyone else to exceed the limit. 


I think you arae doing the assuming. Peter & I are talking about people travelling slower than the limit, stopping people who wish to, travelling upto that limit. No mention of stopping people exceeding it.

Originally posted by scarface scarface wrote:


Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


Provided they are safe & can meet the minimum criteria as set out, then they have every right to be there.


I quite agree.  Maybe the criteria is currently a bit on the soft side though. 


Already the test is one of the most comprehensive compared to other countries & 57.2% fail it. It's not a walk in the park as many who don't pass first time will probably attest to.

Originally posted by scarface scarface wrote:


Originally posted by livvy livvy wrote:


The roads are not the preserve of only those who think they are the best, or want to drive fast. They are there for everyone. It's about everyone who wants to, being able to use them safely.


I don't consider myself to be the best, far from it.  Again you are saying it's all down to speed.  It's not, even I don't drive on or over the speed limit at all times. 
It's about safety, I was talking about people who are not mentally or physically able to drive in a safe, considerate manner.  People just aren't prepared enough when they pass their test, and once you're given a license, that's it, your ability to drive is never questioned. 



I'm not talking about speeding.
I'm defending people's right to drive at speeds below the limit, because they have judged that to be a speed they can drive at safely at that time. True your ability isn't formally tested compulsorily, but you can voluntarily put yourself up for pass plus, IAM, RoADA & the like. You ability is also questioned whenevr it is observed by a Police officer & found to be sub standard. They can then do something about that & where sever enough you can get points towards losing your licence..


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My views expressed are just that.
Mine & mine alone.


Posted By: dutch
Date Posted: 25-January-2006 at 17:31

livvy wrote:

Provided they are safe & can meet the minimum criteria as set out, then they have every right to be there.

this is the problem these people are not shown the rules of the motorway how to drive what the signs are what to do if you break down, but because they demonstrated they can drive carefully at 28mph around town,we let them on the motorways because they have every right to be there.

then when theres and rta we can all say its speed its careless but what it is is negligence on behalf of the powers to be allowing this in the first place



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e39,1200 bandit
cooper S, Z3 topazbleu


Posted By: scarface
Date Posted: 25-January-2006 at 17:43
I didn't pass first time myself.  But although the test is not EASY, does it provide all the skills needed?  I feel that more emphasis should be put on attitude, confidence and judgement, not just the ability to control a car.  

What I was saying was that you assumed that I was attacking peoples rights to drive below the speed limit.  Although it may be irritating, it is not a reason to remove them from the road and I have never said that it is.  (Except when consistently taken to the extreme e.g. flat cap man. )


The police can question your ability, but as you say, there aren't enough patrols observing driving standards. 


Posted By: Nigel
Date Posted: 25-January-2006 at 18:12

Its a basic test.

Like everything else, it needs practise.

Lots & lots of very good training out there for peanuts.

How about ( this is never going to happen, but here goes), any current licenced drivers will have their entitlement to drive removed on 31/12/06, unless they can produce a recognised advanced driving certificate.

That tough enough for you ?



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Best Wishes

Nigel



Posted By: spokey
Date Posted: 25-January-2006 at 18:28
Works for me!

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Ciao,
Spokey



Posted By: Nigel
Date Posted: 25-January-2006 at 18:35

Its never going to happen though spokey, so its just on with the push to get people to do it volunterily.

May I organise you an assessment drive ?



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Best Wishes

Nigel




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